Queen Of The South 0-2 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.95
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.0
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
20.85
1/X
8%
15.25
X/1
8%
9.76
X/2
15%
4.02
X/X
14%
5.9
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
24%
2.08
2/X
7%
14.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.85 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+2.9pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.9pp
49%
Away Win
59%
-9.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 62%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.69/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.41
-37% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +128%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queen Of The South
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Hamilton
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
02.12.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 5-0 HT 3-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
23.09.2023 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-2 HT 1-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
07.02.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 2-1 HT 1-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCK
26.03.2022 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCL
02.01.2022 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 0-3 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
26.10.2021 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCL
POST-MATCH Queen Of The South vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton saw off Queen Of The South 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hamilton as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Queen Of The South and 2.33 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Queen Of The South vs Hamilton?

Queen Of The South 0-2 Hamilton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queen Of The South vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Queen Of The South 22%, draw 29%, Hamilton 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamilton) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamilton) ✗ BTTS Yes
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