Hayes & Yeading 3-2 Hungerford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.1pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hayes & Yeading EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Hungerford Town EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.54/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/2.70
-3% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -45%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hayes & Yeading
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hungerford Town
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
23.09.2023 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town 3-3 HT 2-1 Hayes & Yeading Hayes & Yeading İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Hayes & Yeading vs Hungerford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hayes & Yeading squeezed past Hungerford Town 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Hayes & Yeading found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Hayes & Yeading vs Hungerford Town?

Hayes & Yeading 3-2 Hungerford Town in the England - Non League Premier on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hayes & Yeading vs Hungerford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hungerford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hayes & Yeading 33%, draw 27%, Hungerford Town 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hungerford Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hungerford Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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