Walton & Hersham 1-2 Basingstoke Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-15.7pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walton & Hersham EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.75/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.98
-2% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walton & Hersham
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Basingstoke Town
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
23.09.2023 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 3-3 HT 1-2 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walton & Hersham
1-2
AWAY Basingstoke Town
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Walton & Hersham vs Basingstoke Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basingstoke Town edged past Walton & Hersham 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Walton & Hersham at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Walton & Hersham had 60% of the ball to Basingstoke Town's 40%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Walton & Hersham vs Basingstoke Town?

Walton & Hersham 1-2 Basingstoke Town in the England - Non League Premier on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walton & Hersham vs Basingstoke Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walton & Hersham win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Walton & Hersham 50%, draw 24%, Basingstoke Town 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Walton & Hersham), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walton & Hersham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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