Worksop Town vs Ashton United Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Worksop Town v Ashton United — Team-Based Signals
Worksop Town 1-0 Ashton United — Actual Match Statistics
Worksop Town nicked a narrow win over Ashton United 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Worksop Town as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Worksop Town had 54% of the ball to Ashton United's 46%, shots finished 9-6.
What was the final score of Worksop Town vs Ashton United?
Worksop Town 1-0 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Worksop Town vs Ashton United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Worksop Town 53%, draw 18%, Ashton United 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worksop Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.