Burnley 2-2 Fulham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 3 Feb 2024

Burnley
2-2 HT 0-2
Fulham
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Burnley vs Fulham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
19.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.13
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
16%
5.65
X/2
12%
5.09
X/X
13%
4.17
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
11%
3.56
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+6.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Burnley v Fulham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.64/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.32
+10% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 78%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
22.8 Crosses 18.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Burnley vs Fulham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fulham
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 1.01
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
230 Passes 434
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.12.2023 Fulham Fulham 0-2 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNP
10.05.2021 Fulham Fulham 0-2 HT 0-2 Burnley Burnley İNP
17.02.2021 Burnley Burnley 1-1 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
24.01.2021 Fulham Fulham 0-3 HT 0-1 Burnley Burnley FAK
12.01.2019 Burnley Burnley 2-1 HT 2-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
26.08.2018 Fulham Fulham 4-2 HT 3-2 Burnley Burnley İNP

Burnley 2-2 Fulham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burnley
2-2
AWAY Fulham
1.81 xG 1.51
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 13
285 Passes 372
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Burnley vs Fulham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley and Fulham couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Burnley at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Burnley had 44% of the ball to Fulham's 56%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.81 to 1.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Burnley and 1.00 for Fulham.

What was the final score of Burnley vs Fulham?

Burnley 2-2 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley vs Fulham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Burnley 41%, draw 27%, Fulham 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Burnley) ✗ Under 2.5
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