Sheffield United 0-5 Aston Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 3 Feb 2024

Sheffield United
0-5 HT 0-4
Aston Villa
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Sheffield United vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
47%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.38
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.16 — our 29% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.38
1/2
7%
21.25
1/X
7%
15.5
X/1
7%
10.05
X/2
16%
3.96
X/X
14%
5.78
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
23%
2.05
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
47%
Away Win
56%
-9.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.0pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sheffield United v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa EU Bookmakers 61%
+7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
0.87/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.41
-8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -42%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
246 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 78%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.8
17.6 Crosses 31.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.5

Sheffield United vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Aston Villa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.20 xG 1.37
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
252 Passes 425
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.12.2023 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNP
03.03.2021 Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-0 HT 1-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
21.09.2020 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNP
17.06.2020 Aston Villa Aston Villa 0-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNP
14.12.2019 Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-0 HT 0-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
08.02.2019 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3-3 HT 0-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL

Sheffield United 0-5 Aston Villa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield United
0-5
AWAY Aston Villa
1.48 xG 2.19
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 4
278 Passes 562
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
22 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sheffield United vs Aston Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa swept aside Sheffield United 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aston Villa as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sheffield United had 36% of the ball to Aston Villa's 64%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.48 to 2.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sheffield United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sheffield United and 0.83 for Aston Villa.

What was the final score of Sheffield United vs Aston Villa?

Sheffield United 0-5 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield United vs Aston Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sheffield United 26%, draw 27%, Aston Villa 47%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aston Villa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
3 Feb 2024
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