Everton 2-2 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.38 — our 25% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.28
1/2
8%
23.0
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1
8%
6.64
X/2
15%
5.06
X/X
12%
5.27
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
17%
2.92
2/X
7%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.42/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.28
-12% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 82%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
21.3 Crosses 13.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Tottenham
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.95 xG 1.66
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
346 Passes 480
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 2-1 HT 2-0 Everton Everton İNP
03.04.2023 Everton Everton 1-1 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
15.10.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 2-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
07.03.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 5-0 HT 3-0 Everton Everton İNP
07.11.2021 Everton Everton 0-0 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
16.04.2021 Everton Everton 2-2 HT 1-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
2-2
AWAY Tottenham
2.62 xG 0.98
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
252 Passes 385
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 18
36 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Everton vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton and Tottenham shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 24% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Everton had 43% of the ball to Tottenham's 57%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.62 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tottenham led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Everton and 2.00 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Everton vs Tottenham?

Everton 2-2 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Everton 35%, draw 24%, Tottenham 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tottenham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tottenham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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