Sassuolo (K) 2-0 Napoli (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.61
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
58%
-16.5pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.0pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
Crosses 25.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo (K)
2-0
AWAY Napoli (K)
3.33 xG 0.16
69% Ball Possession 31%
21 Total Shots 3
11 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 0
383 Passes 115
78% Pass Accuracy 51%
33 Box Touches 4
37 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sassuolo (K) vs Napoli (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo (K) got the better of Napoli (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sassuolo (K) as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sassuolo (K) had 69% of the ball to Napoli (K)'s 31%, shots finished 21-3, expected goals 3.33 to 0.16.

What was the final score of Sassuolo (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Sassuolo (K) 2-0 Napoli (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo (K) 42%, draw 30%, Napoli (K) 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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