Carl Zeiss Jena 1-1 Babelsberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.9pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.34/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.43
-22% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Babelsberg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 2-1 HT 2-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
03.12.2022 Babelsberg Babelsberg 0-1 HT 0-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
04.03.2022 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 1-0 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
31.08.2021 Babelsberg Babelsberg 0-2 HT 0-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
15.08.2020 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 1-1 HT 1-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
13.01.2018 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 1-1 HT 1-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena
1-1
AWAY Babelsberg
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Carl Zeiss Jena vs Babelsberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carl Zeiss Jena and Babelsberg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Carl Zeiss Jena at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Carl Zeiss Jena had 45% of the ball to Babelsberg's 55%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carl Zeiss Jena had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Carl Zeiss Jena and 0.67 for Babelsberg.

What was the final score of Carl Zeiss Jena vs Babelsberg?

Carl Zeiss Jena 1-1 Babelsberg in the Germany - Regional League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carl Zeiss Jena vs Babelsberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carl Zeiss Jena win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Carl Zeiss Jena 44%, draw 31%, Babelsberg 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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