Chacarita Juniors 2-0 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.9pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.9pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.2pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.76/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.94
+34% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +36%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chacarita Juniors
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Maipu
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
02.07.2023 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
27.02.2023 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 0-2 HT 0-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
17.04.2022 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-1 HT 1-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
02.10.2021 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
10.06.2021 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-2 HT 0-2 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chacarita Juniors
2-0
AWAY Deportivo Maipu
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 0
10 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chacarita Juniors got the better of Deportivo Maipu 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chacarita Juniors as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Chacarita Juniors had 45% of the ball to Deportivo Maipu's 55%, shots finished 4-0.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chacarita Juniors had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Chacarita Juniors and 1.00 for Deportivo Maipu.

What was the final score of Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu?

Chacarita Juniors 2-0 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chacarita Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chacarita Juniors 42%, draw 32%, Deportivo Maipu 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chacarita Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chacarita Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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