Deportivo Moron 3-0 Brown De Adrogue — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.41
Over 2.5
33%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.3pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
67%
+0.0pp
33%
Over 2.5
33%
-0.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.2pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Brown De Adrogue EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.18/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.00
-11% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Moron
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Brown De Adrogue
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
04.03.2022 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
28.09.2021 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 0-2 HT 0-0 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBN
16.05.2021 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
14.11.2015 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-2 HT 1-1 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBM
27.06.2015 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Moron
3-0
AWAY Brown De Adrogue
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Moron vs Brown De Adrogue
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Moron ran out comfortable winners over Brown De Adrogue 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 26%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Moron found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Moron had 59% of the ball to Brown De Adrogue's 41%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Brown De Adrogue led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Deportivo Moron and 1.20 for Brown De Adrogue.

What was the final score of Deportivo Moron vs Brown De Adrogue?

Deportivo Moron 3-0 Brown De Adrogue in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Moron vs Brown De Adrogue?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Moron win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Moron 39%, draw 34%, Brown De Adrogue 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Moron), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Moron) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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