Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 3 Feb 2024

Estudiantes Caseros
1-0 HT 0-0
Ferro Carril Oeste
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril Oeste Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.41
Over 2.5
40%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.2pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
67%
-6.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
33%
+6.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.8pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes Caseros v Ferro Carril Oeste — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.05/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.15
-8% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril Oeste Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.07.2023 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-2 HT 1-2 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
05.03.2023 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-2 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
05.06.2022 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-2 HT 0-2 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
10.01.2021 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-2 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
22.10.2019 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN

Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
1-0
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 6
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Caseros nicked a narrow win over Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Estudiantes Caseros found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Estudiantes Caseros had 49% of the ball to Ferro Carril Oeste's 51%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ferro Carril Oeste led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Estudiantes Caseros and 1.20 for Ferro Carril Oeste.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Caseros win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Caseros 37%, draw 32%, Ferro Carril Oeste 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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