Antalyaspor 0-2 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 3 Feb 2024

Antalyaspor
0-2 HT 0-1
Fenerbahçe
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahçe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
51%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.09
2-3 Goals
49%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
8.57
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
22.15
1/X
10%
16.6
X/1
6%
11.05
X/2
12%
3.77
X/X
8%
5.66
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
28%
1.95
2/X
8%
15.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.15 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.5pp
51%
Away Win
60%
-8.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Antalyaspor v Fenerbahçe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 64%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +19%
0.95/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.02
-29% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +17%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.1
12.1 Crosses 21.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahçe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antalyaspor
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.18 xG 1.91
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
241 Passes 430
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-2 HT 1-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
30.05.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-0 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
03.01.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-2 HT 1-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
15.01.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
22.08.2021 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
04.03.2021 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-1 HT 0-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL

Antalyaspor 0-2 Fenerbahçe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
0-2
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.59 xG 1.48
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
341 Passes 280
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe saw off Antalyaspor 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 54% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 46%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 0.59 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Antalyaspor and 1.83 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahçe?

Antalyaspor 0-2 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Super League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 22%, draw 27%, Fenerbahçe 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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