Başakşehir FK 2-0 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.15
2-3 Goals
45%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.67
6+ Goals
10%
15.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.07
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
16.15
X/1
17%
3.68
X/2
10%
10.2
X/X
8%
5.08
2/1
10%
23.85
2/2
8%
8.38
2/X
9%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.74/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.19
-4% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
20.3 Crosses 13.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
3W-0D-3L
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.73 xG 0.64
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
455 Passes 302
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
15.04.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
16.10.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-0 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
20.05.2007 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK T1L
09.12.2006 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-1 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
29.03.2006 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-1 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
2-0
AWAY İstanbulspor
3.06 xG 0.41
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
485 Passes 265
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
34 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK saw off İstanbulspor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Başakşehir FK as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 61% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 39%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 3.06 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Başakşehir FK and 0.50 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs İstanbulspor?

Başakşehir FK 2-0 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - Super League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 50%, draw 24%, İstanbulspor 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
3 Feb 2024
13:30 Çaykur Rizespor vs Konyaspor Analysis →
19:00 Gaziantep FK vs Kayserispor Analysis →
19:00 Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahçe Analysis →