Chelsea 2-1 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.3
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.96
Over
56%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.64
No
48%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
22%
6.66
2-3
39%
2.16
4-5
26%
2.4
6+
13%
4.64
Value flag · 0-1 at 6.66 — our 22% vs market 10.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.47
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.1
X/1
27%
4.08
X/2
9%
18.15
X/X
10%
9.2
2/1
7%
18.5
2/2
7%
13.75
2/X
5%
21.7
Value flag · X/1 at 4.08 — our 27% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Chelsea The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United The Market 15%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
2.16 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.14
1.02 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.06
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
493 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.6 Crosses 16.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea
4W-1D-1L
AWAY West Ham United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.32 xG 1.07
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
586 Passes 256
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 0-3 HT 0-2 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
05.05.2024 Chelsea Chelsea 5-0 HT 3-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
20.08.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 3-1 HT 1-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
11.02.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 1-1 HT 1-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
03.09.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 2-1 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
24.04.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 1-0 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea
2-1
AWAY West Ham United
1.67 xG 1.22
68% Ball Possession 32%
22 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
516 Passes 206
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Chelsea vs West Ham United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Chelsea came out on the right side of a one-goal game with West Ham United 2-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (56%) landed.

On the day, possession split 68% to 32% in Chelsea's favour, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 1.67 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Chelsea against 0.83 for West Ham United.

Chelsea vs West Ham United Result & Final Score

Chelsea 2-1 West Ham United in the England - Premier League on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Chelsea vs West Ham United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 57%, draw 22%, West Ham United 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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