Girona 2-1 Las Palmas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 3 Feb 2025

Girona
2 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Las Palmas
📅03/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
67%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
14%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.03
Over
55%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.84
No
49%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.64
2-3
47%
1.8
4-5
25%
3.13
6+
6%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.85
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
4%
16.3
X/1
21%
3.92
X/2
6%
12.0
X/X
12%
5.96
2/1
3%
21.7
2/2
7%
9.93
2/X
4%
18.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.7 — our 3% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Girona The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Palmas The Market 20%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.36 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.01
0.77 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.62
Great Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Average
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
410 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
31 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Girona
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Las Palmas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.58 xG 1.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
348 Passes 344
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
26.10.2024 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-0 HT 1-0 Girona Girona İS1
27.04.2024 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-2 HT 0-1 Girona Girona İS1
03.09.2023 Girona Girona 1-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
12.03.2022 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-3 HT 1-0 Girona Girona İS2
22.08.2021 Girona Girona 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
19.03.2021 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-2 HT 1-0 Girona Girona İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Girona
2 - 1
AWAY Las Palmas
2.03 xG 1.54
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
368 Passes 421
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Girona vs Las Palmas
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Girona squeezed past Las Palmas 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Girona as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Las Palmas saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 2.03 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Girona against 0.50 for Las Palmas.

Girona vs Las Palmas Result & Final Score

Girona 2 - 1 Las Palmas in the Spain - Primera Liga on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Girona vs Las Palmas Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Girona 67%, draw 19%, Las Palmas 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Girona), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Girona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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