Las Palmas 0-2 Girona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
52%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.09
2-3 Goals
32%
1.85
4-5 Goals
32%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.85
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
21.85
1/X
4%
14.9
X/1
8%
9.43
X/2
19%
4.11
X/X
12%
5.57
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.17
2/X
6%
14.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.85 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.3pp
52%
Away Win
54%
-2.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Girona EU Bookmakers 58%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.96/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/1.75
-38% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 84%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
18.1 Crosses 19.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Girona
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.88 xG 1.43
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
317 Passes 350
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2023 Girona Girona 1-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
12.03.2022 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-3 HT 1-0 Girona Girona İS2
22.08.2021 Girona Girona 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
19.03.2021 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-2 HT 1-0 Girona Girona İS2
09.11.2020 Girona Girona 1-1 HT 0-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
13.06.2020 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-0 HT 0-0 Girona Girona İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
0-2
AWAY Girona
1.63 xG 1.89
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
497 Passes 297
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Girona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Girona beat Las Palmas 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Girona as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Las Palmas had 61% of the ball to Girona's 39%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.63 to 1.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Las Palmas and 1.17 for Girona.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Girona?

Las Palmas 0-2 Girona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Girona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 26%, draw 22%, Girona 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Girona) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Girona) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
27 Apr 2024
17:15 Almeria vs Getafe Analysis →
19:30 Deportivo Alaves vs Celta Vigo Analysis →
22:00 Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Analysis →