Almeria vs Getafe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almeria v Getafe — Team-Based Signals
Almeria vs Getafe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Almeria
İS1
1-2
HT 0-1
Almeria
İS1
1-0
HT 1-0
Getafe
İS1
4-0
HT 2-0
Almeria
İS2
0-1
HT 0-0
Getafe
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
Getafe
İS1
Almeria 1-3 Getafe — Actual Match Statistics
Getafe beat Almeria 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Getafe found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Almeria had 55% of the ball to Getafe's 45%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.36 to 1.66 — on chances, Almeria could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Almeria and 1.33 for Getafe.
What was the final score of Almeria vs Getafe?
Almeria 1-3 Getafe in the Spain - Primera Liga on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almeria vs Getafe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Almeria 39%, draw 29%, Getafe 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.