Pro Vercelli 1-0 Novara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
27%
2.7
Away
42%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.41
Over 2.5
41%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
6.21
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
34%
-6.8pp
42%
Away Win
34%
+8.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
67%
-8.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
33%
+8.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Novara EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +0%
1.10/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.36
-1% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
246 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Vercelli
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Novara
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2024 Novara Novara 1-0 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
16.03.2024 Novara Novara 2-2 HT 2-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
13.11.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 3-3 HT 2-1 Novara Novara İTC
29.01.2023 Novara Novara 0-1 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
24.09.2022 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-2 HT 1-1 Novara Novara İTC
23.01.2021 Novara Novara 1-2 HT 1-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Vercelli
1-0
AWAY Novara
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pro Vercelli vs Novara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Vercelli squeezed past Novara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Novara at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Pro Vercelli had 41% of the ball to Novara's 59%, shots finished 7-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pro Vercelli and 1.50 for Novara.

What was the final score of Pro Vercelli vs Novara?

Pro Vercelli 1-0 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Vercelli vs Novara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pro Vercelli 31%, draw 27%, Novara 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Novara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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