Novara 1-0 Pro Vercelli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.31
6+ Goals
9%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.7pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novara EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.28/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.42
-1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novara
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Pro Vercelli
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2024 Novara Novara 2-2 HT 2-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
13.11.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 3-3 HT 2-1 Novara Novara İTC
29.01.2023 Novara Novara 0-1 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
24.09.2022 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-2 HT 1-1 Novara Novara İTC
23.01.2021 Novara Novara 1-2 HT 1-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
27.09.2020 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-0 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novara
1-0
AWAY Pro Vercelli
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Novara vs Pro Vercelli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novara squeezed past Pro Vercelli 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Novara as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Novara had 56% of the ball to Pro Vercelli's 44%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pro Vercelli led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Novara and 1.67 for Pro Vercelli.

What was the final score of Novara vs Pro Vercelli?

Novara 1-0 Pro Vercelli in the Italy - Serie C on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novara vs Pro Vercelli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Novara 44%, draw 25%, Pro Vercelli 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Novara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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