Arezzo 2-0 Gubbio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.48
Over 2.5
48%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
5.6
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
45%
+6.7pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.8pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
64%
-11.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
36%
+11.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.4pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arezzo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Gubbio EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.30/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.34
+0% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arezzo
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Gubbio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2024 Gubbio Gubbio 2-0 HT 1-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
30.10.2023 Arezzo Arezzo 1-0 HT 0-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
03.02.2021 Arezzo Arezzo 0-1 HT 0-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
08.10.2020 Gubbio Gubbio 1-1 HT 0-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arezzo
2-0
AWAY Gubbio
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arezzo vs Gubbio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arezzo beat Gubbio 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arezzo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Arezzo had 46% of the ball to Gubbio's 54%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gubbio led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Arezzo and 1.00 for Gubbio.

What was the final score of Arezzo vs Gubbio?

Arezzo 2-0 Gubbio in the Italy - Serie C on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arezzo vs Gubbio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Arezzo 52%, draw 25%, Gubbio 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arezzo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arezzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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