Sestri Levante 1-2 Sassari Torres — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
52%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.45
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 33% vs market 31.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
52%
Away Win
50%
+2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.1pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 55%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
0.93/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-13% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestri Levante
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sassari Torres
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
04.02.2024 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 0-1 HT 0-1 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante İTC
24.09.2023 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante 0-1 HT 0-0 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestri Levante
1-2
AWAY Sassari Torres
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sestri Levante vs Sassari Torres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassari Torres edged past Sestri Levante 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sassari Torres as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sestri Levante had 41% of the ball to Sassari Torres's 59%, shots finished 7-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sestri Levante and 0.50 for Sassari Torres.

What was the final score of Sestri Levante vs Sassari Torres?

Sestri Levante 1-2 Sassari Torres in the Italy - Serie C on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestri Levante vs Sassari Torres?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassari Torres win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sestri Levante 22%, draw 26%, Sassari Torres 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassari Torres) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassari Torres) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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