Torre Neapolis 0-0 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
55%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.39
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.02
6+ Goals
7%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+6.2pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.7pp
55%
Away Win
55%
-0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.6pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torre Neapolis EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino EU Bookmakers 59%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.12/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.96
+17% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
208 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torre Neapolis
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Avellino
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 0-4 HT 0-2 Avellino Avellino İTC
03.12.2023 Avellino Avellino 0-0 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
08.04.2023 Avellino Avellino 0-1 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
04.12.2022 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 1-3 HT 1-2 Avellino Avellino İTC
02.11.2022 Avellino Avellino 1-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTCK
04.04.2022 Avellino Avellino 1-0 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torre Neapolis
0-0
AWAY Avellino
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Torre Neapolis vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torre Neapolis and Avellino fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Avellino at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Torre Neapolis had 39% of the ball to Avellino's 61%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avellino led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Torre Neapolis and 1.50 for Avellino.

What was the final score of Torre Neapolis vs Avellino?

Torre Neapolis 0-0 Avellino in the Italy - Serie C on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torre Neapolis vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Torre Neapolis 25%, draw 20%, Avellino 55%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Avellino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avellino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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