Vicenza 1-0 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.28
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.2pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vicenza EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +27%
1.71/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.45
+8% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vicenza
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Renate
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.02.2024 Renate Renate 0-2 HT 0-1 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
15.10.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 1-2 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
11.02.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 2-1 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
16.10.2022 Renate Renate 2-1 HT 1-1 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vicenza
1-0
AWAY Renate
63% Ball Possession 37%
23 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vicenza vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vicenza squeezed past Renate 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vicenza as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vicenza had 63% of the ball to Renate's 37%, shots finished 23-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vicenza and 1.25 for Renate.

What was the final score of Vicenza vs Renate?

Vicenza 1-0 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vicenza vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vicenza 49%, draw 23%, Renate 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vicenza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vicenza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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