Torre Neapolis 0-4 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.66
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.41
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+7.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torre Neapolis EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -11%
1.24/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.84
+17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torre Neapolis
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Avellino
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Avellino Avellino 0-0 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
08.04.2023 Avellino Avellino 0-1 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
04.12.2022 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 1-3 HT 1-2 Avellino Avellino İTC
02.11.2022 Avellino Avellino 1-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTCK
04.04.2022 Avellino Avellino 1-0 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
28.11.2021 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 1-2 HT 1-2 Avellino Avellino İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torre Neapolis
0-4
AWAY Avellino
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torre Neapolis vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino ran out comfortable winners over Torre Neapolis 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Avellino found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Torre Neapolis had 44% of the ball to Avellino's 56%, shots finished 6-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avellino led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Torre Neapolis and 1.17 for Avellino.

What was the final score of Torre Neapolis vs Avellino?

Torre Neapolis 0-4 Avellino in the Italy - Serie C on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torre Neapolis vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Torre Neapolis 35%, draw 26%, Avellino 39%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avellino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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