Gubbio 2-0 Arezzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Mar 2024

Gubbio
2-0 HT 1-0
Arezzo
📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Gubbio vs Arezzo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.25
Draw
37%
2.94
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.44
Over 2.5
34%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.27
No
50%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.02
2-3 Goals
48%
1.84
4-5 Goals
13%
6.5
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
41%
-8.3pp
37%
Draw
30%
+6.5pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
66%
+0.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
34%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.5pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gubbio v Arezzo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gubbio EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Arezzo EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.48/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.06
+21% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8

Gubbio vs Arezzo Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gubbio
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Arezzo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.10.2023 Arezzo Arezzo 1-0 HT 0-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
03.02.2021 Arezzo Arezzo 0-1 HT 0-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
08.10.2020 Gubbio Gubbio 1-1 HT 0-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC

Gubbio 2-0 Arezzo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gubbio
2-0
AWAY Arezzo
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Gubbio vs Arezzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gubbio saw off Arezzo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 37% / 31%) promised a tight game; Gubbio found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gubbio had 51% of the ball to Arezzo's 49%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gubbio and 0.67 for Arezzo.

What was the final score of Gubbio vs Arezzo?

Gubbio 2-0 Arezzo in the Italy - Serie C on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gubbio vs Arezzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gubbio 32%, draw 37%, Arezzo 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5
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