Virtus Entella 5-0 Perugia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Mar 2024

Virtus Entella
5-0 HT 2-0
Perugia
📅05/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Virtus Entella vs Perugia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.35
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.5pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.1pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Virtus Entella v Perugia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Perugia EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.23/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.96
+6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
278 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3

Virtus Entella vs Perugia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Entella
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Perugia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.33 xG 1.52
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
384 Passes 266
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.10.2023 Perugia Perugia 2-1 HT 2-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
24.07.2020 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-2 HT 0-2 Perugia Perugia İTB
21.12.2019 Perugia Perugia 2-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
20.01.2018 Perugia Perugia 2-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
26.08.2017 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-5 HT 1-4 Perugia Perugia İTB
18.02.2017 Perugia Perugia 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB

Virtus Entella 5-0 Perugia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Entella
5-0
AWAY Perugia
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Virtus Entella vs Perugia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella ran out comfortable winners over Perugia 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Virtus Entella found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Virtus Entella had 47% of the ball to Perugia's 53%, shots finished 18-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perugia led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Virtus Entella and 2.17 for Perugia.

What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Perugia?

Virtus Entella 5-0 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs Perugia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 35%, draw 29%, Perugia 37%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Perugia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Perugia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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