Legnago Salus 2-1 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.29
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.2pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legnago Salus EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 38%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -27%
1.15/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.33
-1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legnago Salus
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Pergolettese
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 3-2 HT 1-0 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus İTC
16.02.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-1 HT 0-0 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus İTC
10.10.2021 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus 3-1 HT 1-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legnago Salus
2-1
AWAY Pergolettese
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Legnago Salus vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legnago Salus nicked a narrow win over Pergolettese 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Legnago Salus made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Legnago Salus had 37% of the ball to Pergolettese's 63%, shots finished 10-18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Legnago Salus and 1.67 for Pergolettese.

What was the final score of Legnago Salus vs Pergolettese?

Legnago Salus 2-1 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legnago Salus vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legnago Salus win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Legnago Salus 37%, draw 26%, Pergolettese 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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