Alessandria 0-1 Trento AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
29%
2.66
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.83
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
17%
7.83
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.8pp
29%
Draw
34%
-4.7pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.1pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alessandria EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Trento AC EU Bookmakers 38%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
0.82/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.61
-25% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +79%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alessandria
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Trento AC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.10.2023 Trento AC Trento AC 1-1 HT 1-0 Alessandria Alessandria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alessandria
0-1
AWAY Trento AC
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alessandria vs Trento AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trento AC squeezed past Alessandria 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Trento AC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Alessandria had 46% of the ball to Trento AC's 54%, shots finished 7-16.

What was the final score of Alessandria vs Trento AC?

Alessandria 0-1 Trento AC in the Italy - Serie C on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alessandria vs Trento AC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alessandria win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Alessandria 35%, draw 29%, Trento AC 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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