Independiente Medellin 3-0 Boyaca Chico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.86
Over 2.5
39%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.33
No
67%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
70%
-7.7pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.1pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.8pp
33%
BTTS Yes
39%
-6.3pp
67%
BTTS No
61%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 14%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -8%
1.51/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.23
-4% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -25%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
14.9 Crosses 12.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Medellin
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Boyaca Chico
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 1.06
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
332 Passes 253
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.08.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
15.02.2024 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 3-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
29.08.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-1 HT 1-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
04.06.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 0-0 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
01.06.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
12.03.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Medellin
3-0
AWAY Boyaca Chico
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
340 Passes 113
80% Pass Accuracy 61%
POST-MATCH Independiente Medellin vs Boyaca Chico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Medellin swept aside Boyaca Chico 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (67%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Independiente Medellin had 70% of the ball to Boyaca Chico's 30%, shots finished 14-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boyaca Chico led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.17 for Boyaca Chico.

What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Boyaca Chico?

Independiente Medellin 3-0 Boyaca Chico in the Colombia - Primera on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Boyaca Chico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 63%, draw 23%, Boyaca Chico 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Medellin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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