AZ U19 4-0 Borussia Dortmund U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 3 Feb 2026

AZ U19
4-0 HT 1-0
Borussia Dortmund U19
📅03/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2025/2026

AZ U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.53
No
36%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
64%
BTTS Yes
61%
+3.2pp
36%
BTTS No
39%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AZ U19 v Borussia Dortmund U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ U19 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund U19 EU Bookmakers 30%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
3.42/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.36
+8% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
6.0 Crosses 9.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

AZ U19 4-0 Borussia Dortmund U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ U19
4-0
AWAY Borussia Dortmund U19
1.75 xG 1.38
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 22
7 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 11
224 Passes 488
74% Pass Accuracy 89%
17 Box Touches 53
13 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AZ U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ U19 ran out comfortable winners over Borussia Dortmund U19 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had AZ U19 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.

On the day, AZ U19 had 36% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund U19's 64%, shots finished 13-22, expected goals 1.75 to 1.38.

What was the final score of AZ U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19?

AZ U19 4-0 Borussia Dortmund U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 03/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AZ U19 44%, draw 23%, Borussia Dortmund U19 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AZ U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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