Real Madrid U19 5-2 Marsilya U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 3 Feb 2026

📅03/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.34
Draw
16%
4.81
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.74
Over 2.5
63%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
16%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
70%
-3.8pp
16%
Draw
18%
-1.8pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
33%
+3.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
67%
-3.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.5pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid U19 EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsilya U19 EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.01/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/2.27
-23% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
35.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.6 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Marsilya U19
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.09.2025 Real Madrid U19 Real Madrid U19 3-2 HT 0-1 Marsilya U19 Marsilya U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid U19
5-2
AWAY Marsilya U19
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Real Madrid U19 vs Marsilya U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid U19 swept aside Marsilya U19 5-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Madrid U19 as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Madrid U19 had 58% of the ball to Marsilya U19's 42%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Real Madrid U19 vs Marsilya U19?

Real Madrid U19 5-2 Marsilya U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 03/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid U19 vs Marsilya U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid U19 66%, draw 16%, Marsilya U19 18%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UEGL More UEFA - Youth League
3 Feb 2026
16:00 AZ U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19 Analysis →
18:00 Club Brugge U19 vs Monaco U19 Analysis →
18:30 Zilina U19 vs Liverpool U19 Analysis →
20:00 Chelsea U19 vs PSV U19 Analysis →
21:00 Athletic Bilbao U19 vs Eintracht Frankfurt U19 Analysis →