Real Madrid U19 3-2 Marsilya U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 16 Sep 2025

Real Madrid U19
3-2 HT 0-1
Marsilya U19
📅16/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2025/2026

Real Madrid U19 vs Marsilya U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.43
Draw
15%
4.62
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.98
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.06
2-3 Goals
34%
2.18
4-5 Goals
26%
2.3
6+ Goals
19%
4.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
65%
+0.9pp
15%
Draw
18%
-3.6pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.4pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.7pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Madrid U19 v Marsilya U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid U19 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsilya U19 EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-40% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
478 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 79%
37.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.0 Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards –

Real Madrid U19 3-2 Marsilya U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid U19
3-2
AWAY Marsilya U19
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Madrid U19 vs Marsilya U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid U19 squeezed past Marsilya U19 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Madrid U19 as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Madrid U19 had 68% of the ball to Marsilya U19's 32%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Real Madrid U19 vs Marsilya U19?

Real Madrid U19 3-2 Marsilya U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid U19 vs Marsilya U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid U19 66%, draw 15%, Marsilya U19 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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