Benfica U19 7-1 Karabağ U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 16 Sep 2025

📅16/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.11
Draw
16%
8.78
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
No
36%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
23.2
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
34%
4.09
4-5 Goals
31%
2.33
6+ Goals
21%
1.78
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 4.09 — our 34% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
2%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
85%
-8.1pp
16%
Draw
8%
+7.4pp
7%
Away Win
6%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U19 EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Karabağ U19 EU Bookmakers 9%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-25% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.5 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U19
7-1
AWAY Karabağ U19
72% Ball Possession 28%
53 Total Shots 5
23 Shots on Target 2
16 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Benfica U19 vs Karabağ U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U19 ran out comfortable winners over Karabağ U19 7-1. Half-time: 6-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Benfica U19 as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Benfica U19 had 72% of the ball to Karabağ U19's 28%, shots finished 53-5.

What was the final score of Benfica U19 vs Karabağ U19?

Benfica U19 7-1 Karabağ U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U19 vs Karabağ U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Benfica U19 77%, draw 16%, Karabağ U19 7%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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