Athletic Bilbao U19 3-1 Arsenal U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 16 Sep 2025

Athletic Bilbao U19
3-1 HT 1-0
Arsenal U19
📅16/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2025/2026

Athletic Bilbao U19 vs Arsenal U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
13%
12.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Athletic Bilbao U19 v Arsenal U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao U19 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal U19 EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Athletic Bilbao U19 3-1 Arsenal U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao U19
3-1
AWAY Arsenal U19
3.32 xG 0.86
51% Ball Possession 49%
27 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
360 Passes 334
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
34 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao U19 vs Arsenal U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao U19 saw off Arsenal U19 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Athletic Bilbao U19 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao U19 had 51% of the ball to Arsenal U19's 49%, shots finished 27-6, expected goals 3.32 to 0.86.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao U19 vs Arsenal U19?

Athletic Bilbao U19 3-1 Arsenal U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao U19 vs Arsenal U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao U19 38%, draw 23%, Arsenal U19 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arsenal U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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