Chelsea U19 1-1 PSV U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 3 Feb 2026

Chelsea U19
1-1 HT 1-1
PSV U19
📅03/02/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2025/2026

Chelsea U19 vs PSV U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
3.46
Over 2.5
72%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.38
No
33%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
8.34
2-3 Goals
32%
2.37
4-5 Goals
34%
2.29
6+ Goals
20%
3.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.94
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
5%
14.1
X/1
20%
4.8
X/2
7%
11.1
X/X
6%
8.3
2/1
5%
16.5
2/2
6%
6.94
2/X
7%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
59%
+2.2pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.0pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.2pp
28%
Under 2.5
25%
+2.7pp
72%
Over 2.5
75%
-2.7pp
67%
BTTS Yes
68%
-1.1pp
33%
BTTS No
32%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chelsea U19 v PSV U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea U19 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV U19 EU Bookmakers 24%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
5.22/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.09/0.98
+150% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -94% / +102%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
431 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
POST-MATCH Chelsea U19 vs PSV U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U19 and PSV U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chelsea U19 at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (67%) landed while over 2.5 goals (72%) missed.

What was the final score of Chelsea U19 vs PSV U19?

Chelsea U19 1-1 PSV U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 03/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea U19 vs PSV U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Chelsea U19 62%, draw 18%, PSV U19 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelsea U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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