Bristol Academy (K) 3-7 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

Bristol Academy (K)
3-7 HT 0-2
Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2023/2024

Bristol Academy (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bristol Academy (K) v Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol Academy (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Bristol Academy (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol Academy (K)
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.47 xG 1.44
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
159 Passes 251
56% Pass Accuracy 66%
14 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.09.2019 Bristol Academy (K) Bristol Academy (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
10.02.2019 Bristol Academy (K) Bristol Academy (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
09.09.2018 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Bristol Academy (K) Bristol Academy (K) İNKPL

Bristol Academy (K) 3-7 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol Academy (K)
3-7
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
1.43 xG 2.99
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
196 Passes 496
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bristol Academy (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) ran out comfortable winners over Bristol Academy (K) 7-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brighton & Hove Albion (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 7-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bristol Academy (K) had 37% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion (K)'s 63%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 1.43 to 2.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bristol Academy (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Bristol Academy (K) and 0.00 for Brighton & Hove Albion (K).

What was the final score of Bristol Academy (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Bristol Academy (K) 3-7 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol Academy (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brighton & Hove Albion (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bristol Academy (K) 33%, draw 24%, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 43%. The final score 3-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion (K)) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion (K)) ✗ BTTS No
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