Leganes 0-2 Eibar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.61
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.64
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
10%
4.85
X/2
9%
5.83
X/X
15%
3.51
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
10%
4.72
2/X
7%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
38%
+7.7pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.5pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leganes EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.16/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.25
-9% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
16.5 Crosses 20.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leganes
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Eibar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.69 xG 0.89
43% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
240 Passes 365
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2023 Eibar Eibar 0-1 HT 0-1 Leganes Leganes İS2
28.01.2023 Eibar Eibar 0-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
02.09.2022 Leganes Leganes 2-1 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
14.05.2022 Leganes Leganes 2-3 HT 1-2 Eibar Eibar İS2
04.09.2021 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 1-1 Leganes Leganes İS2
09.07.2020 Eibar Eibar 0-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
0-2
AWAY Eibar
2.41 xG 1.35
57% Ball Possession 43%
26 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
408 Passes 295
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
43 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leganes vs Eibar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar got the better of Leganes 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Leganes at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Leganes had 57% of the ball to Eibar's 43%, shots finished 26-9, expected goals 2.41 to 1.35 — on chances, Leganes could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leganes had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leganes and 0.83 for Eibar.

What was the final score of Leganes vs Eibar?

Leganes 0-2 Eibar in the Spain - 2nd Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leganes vs Eibar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Leganes 46%, draw 28%, Eibar 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Leganes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leganes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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