Real Zaragoza 0-1 Amorebieta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.59
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.18
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.9
X/1
15%
3.49
X/2
7%
10.75
X/X
16%
3.93
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
8%
10.25
2/X
6%
19.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
1.50/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.40
-19% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
25.0 Crosses 18.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Zaragoza
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Amorebieta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 1.05
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
354 Passes 244
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 5
17.12.2023 Amorebieta Amorebieta 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
25.03.2022 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-1 HT 0-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS2
28.11.2021 Amorebieta Amorebieta 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Zaragoza
0-1
AWAY Amorebieta
0.52 xG 0.58
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
409 Passes 216
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 6
34 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Zaragoza vs Amorebieta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amorebieta squeezed past Real Zaragoza 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Real Zaragoza at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Real Zaragoza had 62% of the ball to Amorebieta's 38%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.52 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Zaragoza and 1.00 for Amorebieta.

What was the final score of Real Zaragoza vs Amorebieta?

Real Zaragoza 0-1 Amorebieta in the Spain - 2nd Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Zaragoza vs Amorebieta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Zaragoza win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Real Zaragoza 49%, draw 30%, Amorebieta 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Zaragoza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Zaragoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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