Tenerife 2-1 Mirandes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.51
No
65%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.04
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
14%
6.36
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.35
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.35
X/1
21%
3.59
X/2
5%
9.9
X/X
15%
3.57
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
9%
9.52
2/X
7%
18.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.3pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.6pp
35%
BTTS Yes
36%
-0.7pp
65%
BTTS No
64%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandes EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.55/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.45
-14% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
21.4 Crosses 14.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mirandes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 0.88
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 Passes 331
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 1-1 HT 1-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
18.02.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 1-0 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
02.11.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 1-0 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
26.02.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 2-1 HT 2-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
19.09.2021 Tenerife Tenerife 1-2 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
21.04.2021 Mirandes Mirandes 0-0 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife
2-1
AWAY Mirandes
1.95 xG 1.07
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
324 Passes 264
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
38 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tenerife vs Mirandes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife nicked a narrow win over Mirandes 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tenerife as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tenerife had 54% of the ball to Mirandes's 46%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.95 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mirandes led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tenerife and 1.00 for Mirandes.

What was the final score of Tenerife vs Mirandes?

Tenerife 2-1 Mirandes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife vs Mirandes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tenerife 50%, draw 31%, Mirandes 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tenerife) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tenerife) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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