Barbastro 1-1 Zaragoza II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.77
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.38
Over 2.5
36%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
38%
+7.5pp
28%
Draw
33%
-5.0pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
69%
-4.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
31%
+4.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barbastro EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaragoza II EU Bookmakers 32%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.99
-15% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barbastro
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Zaragoza II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2023 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II 0-2 HT 0-0 Barbastro Barbastro İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barbastro
1-1
AWAY Zaragoza II
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barbastro vs Zaragoza II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barbastro and Zaragoza II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Barbastro at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Barbastro had 55% of the ball to Zaragoza II's 45%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Barbastro vs Zaragoza II?

Barbastro 1-1 Zaragoza II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barbastro vs Zaragoza II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barbastro win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Barbastro 46%, draw 28%, Zaragoza II 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Barbastro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barbastro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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