Rayo Cantabria 1-2 Guijuelo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.84
Draw
21%
3.04
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.48
Over Pick
51%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
38%
4-5
26%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.7pp
21%
Draw
29%
-8.7pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
64%
-15.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
36%
+15.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.2pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Guijuelo EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.80/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.74
-22% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
267 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Cantabria
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Guijuelo
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Guijuelo Guijuelo 2-1 HT 0-1 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
11.02.2023 Guijuelo Guijuelo 0-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
24.09.2022 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 0-0 HT 0-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Cantabria
1-2
AWAY Guijuelo
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Rayo Cantabria vs Guijuelo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guijuelo nicked a narrow win over Rayo Cantabria 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 21% / 39%) promised a tight game; Guijuelo found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rayo Cantabria had 41% of the ball to Guijuelo's 59%, shots finished 6-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Guijuelo led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Rayo Cantabria and 0.67 for Guijuelo.

What was the final score of Rayo Cantabria vs Guijuelo?

Rayo Cantabria 1-2 Guijuelo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Cantabria vs Guijuelo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Cantabria win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rayo Cantabria 40%, draw 21%, Guijuelo 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Rayo Cantabria), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rayo Cantabria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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