Elversberg 0-3 Wehen Wiesbaden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 3 Mar 2024

Elversberg
0-3 HT 0-1
Wehen Wiesbaden
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Elversberg vs Wehen Wiesbaden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.58
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1
14%
4.78
X/2
8%
7.62
X/X
10%
5.6
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.45
2/2
16%
4.93
2/X
9%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.9pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elversberg v Wehen Wiesbaden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elversberg EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 31%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.23/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/2.03
+8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
21.7 Crosses 17.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Elversberg vs Wehen Wiesbaden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elversberg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.51 xG 0.85
53% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
351 Passes 378
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-2 HT 0-1 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
20.05.2023 Elversberg Elversberg 1-1 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
14.01.2023 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-0 HT 1-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL3
14.07.2015 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-1 HT 2-1 Elversberg Elversberg HAZ
15.03.2014 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 3-0 HT 1-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL3
21.09.2013 Elversberg Elversberg 3-0 HT 2-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3

Elversberg 0-3 Wehen Wiesbaden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elversberg
0-3
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
0.57 xG 2.04
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
454 Passes 243
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Elversberg vs Wehen Wiesbaden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wehen Wiesbaden cruised past Elversberg 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Elversberg at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Elversberg had 61% of the ball to Wehen Wiesbaden's 39%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.57 to 2.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wehen Wiesbaden led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Elversberg and 1.17 for Wehen Wiesbaden.

What was the final score of Elversberg vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Elversberg 0-3 Wehen Wiesbaden in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elversberg vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Elversberg 47%, draw 24%, Wehen Wiesbaden 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Elversberg), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elversberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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