Paderborn 0-0 Magdeburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 3 Mar 2024

Paderborn
0-0 HT 0-0
Magdeburg
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Paderborn vs Magdeburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.41
No
38%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.06
2-3 Goals
39%
2.08
4-5 Goals
28%
2.56
6+ Goals
14%
5.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.68
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.2
X/1
19%
5.21
X/2
13%
7.4
X/X
13%
5.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.1
2/2
11%
4.36
2/X
6%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.1 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
67%
-5.1pp
38%
BTTS No
33%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paderborn v Magdeburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paderborn EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -7%
1.98/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.88
+7% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
18.0 Crosses 14.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Paderborn vs Magdeburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Magdeburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.94 xG 1.16
49% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
302 Passes 321
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.09.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
11.03.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
03.09.2022 Paderborn Paderborn 1-0 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
24.02.2019 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
23.09.2018 Paderborn Paderborn 4-4 HT 2-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
06.03.2018 Paderborn Paderborn 1-1 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL3

Paderborn 0-0 Magdeburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paderborn
0-0
AWAY Magdeburg
0.99 xG 0.21
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 3
268 Passes 364
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
37 Box Touches 12
30 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paderborn vs Magdeburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn and Magdeburg played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Paderborn at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paderborn had 45% of the ball to Magdeburg's 55%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 0.99 to 0.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paderborn had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Paderborn and 1.17 for Magdeburg.

What was the final score of Paderborn vs Magdeburg?

Paderborn 0-0 Magdeburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paderborn vs Magdeburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 43%, draw 27%, Magdeburg 30%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paderborn) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
3 Mar 2024
15:30 Elversberg vs Wehen Wiesbaden Analysis →
15:30 Hamburg vs Osnabrück Analysis →