Arminia Bielefeld 0-0 Verl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.02
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.74
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
33.0
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
16%
4.74
X/2
10%
7.2
X/X
9%
5.12
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
14%
4.91
2/X
9%
13.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 33.0 — our 9% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Verl EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.53/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.84
-3% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
Crosses 32.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Verl
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 10
03.10.2023 Verl Verl 3-1 HT 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
07.01.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 HT 1-1 Verl Verl HAZ
20.07.2018 Verl Verl 0-5 HT 0-3 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
0-0
AWAY Verl
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arminia Bielefeld vs Verl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld and Verl played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Arminia Bielefeld at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arminia Bielefeld had 39% of the ball to Verl's 61%, shots finished 14-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.33 for Verl.

What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs Verl?

Arminia Bielefeld 0-0 Verl in the Germany - 3rd Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arminia Bielefeld vs Verl?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arminia Bielefeld 41%, draw 26%, Verl 33%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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