Ingolstadt 1-3 Viktoria Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 3 Mar 2024

Ingolstadt
1-3 HT 1-0
Viktoria Köln
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Ingolstadt vs Viktoria Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.02
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.05
X/1
11%
4.2
X/2
11%
10.6
X/X
10%
6.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.45
2/2
9%
7.23
2/X
6%
14.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.45 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ingolstadt v Viktoria Köln — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +21%
1.83/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.96
-15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 75%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
18.7 Crosses 9.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Ingolstadt vs Viktoria Köln Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Viktoria Köln
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.81 xG 0.58
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
239 Passes 342
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 10
32 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.10.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-0 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
22.04.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 3-1 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
30.10.2022 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-3 HT 1-2 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
06.02.2021 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
11.10.2020 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-0 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
01.03.2020 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 0-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3

Ingolstadt 1-3 Viktoria Köln — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
1-3
AWAY Viktoria Köln
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs Viktoria Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Köln beat Ingolstadt 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ingolstadt at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 45% of the ball to Viktoria Köln's 55%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Köln led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ingolstadt and 1.83 for Viktoria Köln.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Viktoria Köln?

Ingolstadt 1-3 Viktoria Köln in the Germany - 3rd Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Viktoria Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 47%, draw 26%, Viktoria Köln 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ingolstadt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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