1860 München U19 3-2 Bayern München U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.39
No
50%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.5pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.6pp
46%
Away Win
40%
+6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
-17.8pp
50%
BTTS No
32%
+17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1860 München U19 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München U19 EU Bookmakers 45%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
1.53/2.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-33% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +127%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
421 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 6.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1860 München U19
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bayern München U19
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
24.09.2023 Bayern München U19 Bayern München U19 0-0 HT 0-0 1860 München U19 1860 München U19 ALU19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1860 München U19
3-2
AWAY Bayern München U19
1.54 xG 0.41
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
233 Passes 378
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH 1860 München U19 vs Bayern München U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1860 München U19 squeezed past Bayern München U19 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bayern München U19 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, 1860 München U19 had 41% of the ball to Bayern München U19's 59%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.54 to 0.41.

What was the final score of 1860 München U19 vs Bayern München U19?

1860 München U19 3-2 Bayern München U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1860 München U19 vs Bayern München U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split 1860 München U19 35%, draw 19%, Bayern München U19 46%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bayern München U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayern München U19) ✓ Over 2.5
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