Borussia Mgladbach U19 0-1 Borussia Dortmund U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
53%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.5
No
57%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.2pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.0pp
53%
Away Win
48%
+5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
62%
-19.8pp
57%
BTTS No
38%
+19.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Mgladbach U19 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund U19 EU Bookmakers 51%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
6.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Mgladbach U19
0-1
AWAY Borussia Dortmund U19
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Borussia Mgladbach U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund U19 nicked a narrow win over Borussia Mgladbach U19 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Borussia Dortmund U19 as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Borussia Mgladbach U19 had 55% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund U19's 45%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Borussia Mgladbach U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19?

Borussia Mgladbach U19 0-1 Borussia Dortmund U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Mgladbach U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Borussia Dortmund U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Borussia Mgladbach U19 27%, draw 20%, Borussia Dortmund U19 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund U19), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund U19) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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