RB Leipzig U19 2-3 Carl Zeiss Jena U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.59
Over 2.5
46%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.56
No
56%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.5pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
35%
+19.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
65%
-19.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
60%
-15.6pp
56%
BTTS No
40%
+15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig U19 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena U19 EU Bookmakers 21%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+39% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig U19
2-3
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena U19
0.94 xG 1.23
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 3
429 Passes 185
80% Pass Accuracy 61%
34 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig U19 vs Carl Zeiss Jena U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carl Zeiss Jena U19 edged past RB Leipzig U19 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. RB Leipzig U19 carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RB Leipzig U19 had 64% of the ball to Carl Zeiss Jena U19's 36%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 0.94 to 1.23.

What was the final score of RB Leipzig U19 vs Carl Zeiss Jena U19?

RB Leipzig U19 2-3 Carl Zeiss Jena U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig U19 vs Carl Zeiss Jena U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig U19 56%, draw 23%, Carl Zeiss Jena U19 20%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (RB Leipzig U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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