Defensa y Justicia 0-4 Lanus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

Defensa y Justicia
0-4 HT 0-1
Lanus
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Defensa y Justicia vs Lanus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.51
Over 2.5
33%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
5.46
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.26 — our 39% vs market 37.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.73
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
12%
4.97
X/2
13%
5.73
X/X
16%
3.53
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.55
2/X
7%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.6pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.0pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Defensa y Justicia v Lanus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Lanus EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.36/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.20
+24% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
18.5 Crosses 17.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Defensa y Justicia vs Lanus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensa y Justicia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lanus
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.38 xG 1.51
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
321 Passes 302
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Lanus Lanus 0-2 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
10.07.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-2 HT 0-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
11.06.2022 Lanus Lanus 1-1 HT 1-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
13.12.2021 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-1 HT 1-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
20.02.2021 Lanus Lanus 2-1 HT 2-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
23.01.2021 Lanus Lanus 0-3 HT 0-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia CON CSA

Defensa y Justicia 0-4 Lanus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensa y Justicia
0-4
AWAY Lanus
0.66 xG 1.78
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
368 Passes 270
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Defensa y Justicia vs Lanus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lanus ran out comfortable winners over Defensa y Justicia 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Lanus made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

On the day, Defensa y Justicia had 56% of the ball to Lanus's 44%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.66 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Defensa y Justicia and 1.00 for Lanus.

What was the final score of Defensa y Justicia vs Lanus?

Defensa y Justicia 0-4 Lanus in the Argentina - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensa y Justicia vs Lanus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Defensa y Justicia 36%, draw 32%, Lanus 33%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Defensa y Justicia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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